Hoping
for (anything other than) the Bonus Ball
05/05/03 | by Alastair Gunn
The
lottery of the play-offs is always good fun. Thats because
we are never involved in them and even though we have broken our
duck, I quite liked it the way it was.
The play-offs really are the bonus ball. With the 46 regular
games gone, we have got a few, but not enough of the right
numbers. Now its back down to pot luck.
Some lucky sods are actually quite good at this pot
luck thing of course, none more so than our favourite git,
Neil Warnock. At this stage, he isnt well placed though, in
third place. If ever theres been a kiss of death, that
ought to be it, and who else would we have wanted to give it to?
Do third place ever go up?
If Pardew gets the Manager of the Month (again), and Wolves as we
know are almost guaranteed to cock it up (again), then we really
ought to get through. Perverse isnt it, but then again the
first winner of Who Wants To Be A Millionaire? was
hardly a rocket scientist, was she? Not that they ever have
rocket scientists. Just the occasional toff who knows a little
too much!
Clearly, its not always the best that win. In fact it
almost always isnt. The play-offs are a perfect case study,
an opportunity for any old bunch of lads to scrape through. Like
Bradford, or Watford, or us.
Hence, we do have a very real chance of playing at Old Trafford
next season. But having seen the early game highlights already
today, would we really want to? Frankly, you can spare me the
blushes!
Like every other fan, I believe Forest deserve to be a
Premiership club. I am also very anxious for this to happen
fairly soon. We still need extra revenue to balance the books
properly, and the longer our loan to this division is extended
the bigger the reality is that we are in a chronic decline.
I suppose what underpins the dilemma I have is whether the prize
of promotion outweighs the cost of our almost inevitable
subsequent relegation. After all, I think any fair-minded
assessment would give the almighty Leicester a better chance of
staying up than the Garibaldi.
When a team comprising of Kewell, Viduka, and Paul Robinson can
go into the final game of the season still involved in a
relegation battle, you know the league is going to be harsh on
teams who cant cut the mustard (which begs the question,
why cut mustard, weird). Entering such a league takes proper
preparations, and proper precautions. And of course, were
talking money.
Money that we dont have, you might suggest. Not that this
has stopped others, including ourselves, before. Either way, a
massive loan would be money we cant afford to touch, unless
we can guarantee survival. Fat chance of being able to guarantee
that. Id sooner put money on Johnny Vegas losing his double
chin, in fact.
Not that a huge loan is the only hazard on this long, testing par
5. Bunkers include the inevitable wage increase. The huge
increase in revenue will up costs, and as should be the case for
an ambitious club; its a damn site easier to up costs, than
to cut them.
So if we assume that we will get relegated, we can not ensure
that the extra cash will wet the clubs beak. The players,
the creditors and the stadium (which will be improved should we
go up as I understand it) are the only sure winners.
Back in Division 1 now, and we have largely the same squad,
better players for the experience, but now a little bit slower
due the extra grand or five a week lining their pockets.
The stadium is much more spacious, with ideal locations for those
cobwebs we have so cruelly removed this season to re-emerge.
And as our overdraft grows like elephantiasis infected scrotum,
so the financial vultures start to reclaim the agenda, instead of
the football that we used to play.
Used to because we will have to lose the services of Paul Hart,
Dawson, Scimeca, Reid and Williams through big money transfers to
real Premiership clubs and the inevitable progression in
Harts career. In a now healthy financial state from these
transfers, we start off where we were when we appointed David
Platt, with a team that has as much chance of getting back up as
a pensioners todger.
And so the bonus ball takes us all back to square one. Or does
it? I forget do I not, in my foolish pessimism, the five-year
plan? When do we get promoted in the five-year plan, may I ask? I
fear that we are running ahead of schedule.
It would be better dont you think, to avoid the bonus ball?
Let's take it a bit slower and mature in the first division like
the best of cheeses, until we stink of quality so much that the
Premiership giants dare not eat us for fear of the effect it will
have on their digestion.
Now thats a plan. Financial health, which we
dont really have, and a squad full of talent, which we are
working on, ought to be pre-requisites of a club promoted to the
Premiership. My point is that we just are not ready, neigh
worthy, of the Premiership.
Other than saving ourselves the humiliation, we would be saving
ourselves having to do the whole 5-year-plan
shenanigan again. Achieving the goal of Premiership stability
takes a bit more than a good season. It takes more than the signs
of a budding team. It takes more than scraping into the play-off
lottery and being unlucky enough to get through.
So, Mr Warnock, do me a favour. Save us scabs the bother of
Premiership humiliation. Well leave that to you next
season.